Report

18 minute read

Using SNPs to cost-effectively address senior care

4 key considerations for growth

 

Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans (SNPs) are currently the fastest growing type of Medicare Advantage (MA) plan but the least well-known. Despite their small size, these plans have a proven record of producing better outcomes for their target populations than traditional fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare or standard Medicare Advantage (MA) plans. As such, they are becoming an increasingly central part of CMS’ broader efforts to address health equity in the senior care market.

Read on for our take on how the rapid growth of SNPs will impact the health care industry as well as specific industry stakeholders.


What are special needs plans?

Medicare Special Needs Plans (SNPs) are a type of Medicare Advantage coordinated care plan designed to provide targeted care to older adults with specialized care needs.


About SNPs

Typical target market for SNPs

Medicare SNPs limit membership to people with specific diseases or characteristics. The plans tailor benefits, provider networks, and drug formularies to best meet the specific needs of their unique member population.

Types of SNPs

There are four types of SNPs:

  • Chronic condition SNPs (C-SNPs): Serve people with certain severe chronic conditions (e.g., heart disease, diabetes, dementia, etc.)
  • Institutional SNPs (I-SNPs): Serve people residing in nursing homes
  • Institution-equivalent SNPs (IE-SNPs): Serve those requiring care equivalent to that offered in a nursing home but who reside outside such a facility
  • Dual-eligible SNPs (D-SNPs): Serve people covered by both Medicare and Medicaid

The vast majority (88%) of people enrolled in SNPs are dual-eligibles (D-SNPs), while those in C-SNPs account for 10% of all SNP enrollees, and those in I-SNPs account for 2%.

Common characteristics of SNPs

  • SNP beneficiaries tend to have more chronic conditions than those enrolled in FFS Medicare or traditional MA.
  • SNP beneficiaries are increasingly and disproportionately lower-income Black and Latinx members of the U.S. population.
  • SNP plans are more profitable, on average, than standard MA plans.

The conventional wisdom

SNPs are one of the best tools the health care industry has to manage care for seniors with the most complex care needs, but awareness of and enrollment for these products remain limited despite their rapid growth. Senior care organizations that have either entered the SNP market themselves or are partnering with SNPs are increasingly enthusiastic about their utility and financial benefits. Senior care organizations that don't risk entering the SNP market risk being left behind as SNPs become more popular.

Most older adults are covered by traditional Medicare, but MA penetration is growing.

America’s older adult population is growing, living longer, has more chronic conditions, and will be more financially unstable than in years past. This has led to increased utilization of the health care system and increased costs that accompany it. In the past, most older adults have relied on traditional FFS Medicare to cover health costs. However, traditional Medicare has higher premiums than MA and covers mostly acute care services.

Older adults want to decrease their expenses, add more benefits like transit and food stipends, and be able to access support to help them age in place for as long as possible. These factors are leading to growth in the number of (and enrollment in) Medicare Advantage products, particularly those targeting high-need populations. In 2021, 42% of older adults had an MA plan compared to 48% with a traditional Medicare FFS plan, and experts expect MA penetration continues increase. By 2030, more than half of older adults are expected to be enrolled in an MA plan.

SNPs are the fasting growing type of MA plans.

Unlike traditional Medicare or standard MA plans, SNPs are designed to better coordinate an older adult’s care by following a detailed Model of Care (MoC) that delineates how each patient’s care will be coordinated. SNPs also tailor their benefit package to meet the complex care needs of their specialized population. SNPs are the smallest MA product by enrollment but have been growing exponentially since 2010, with more SNPs available in 2022 than any year since they were authorized. To put into perspective just how quickly SNP offerings are growing: the number of available SNP plans in 2022 is more than double the number of plans available in 2017, and with 10,000 Americans turning 65 every day until 2030 SNP growth is not expected to slow anytime soon.

Another factor driving this robust growth in the SNP market is their potential for attractive financial returns. The total annual bonuses paid to Medicare Advantage plans has nearly quadrupled, rising from $3 billion in 2015 to $11.6 billion in 2021, and SNPs tend to generate even higher returns than typical MA plans. This rise in bonus payments across MA can be attributed mostly to two factors:

  • Growth in the number of enrollees on Medicare Advantage plans
  • A stark increase in the number of plans receiving bonuses for meeting certain Star Rating thresholds—CMS reports that approximately 90% of people are currently in an MA plan that will have four or more stars in 2022

C- and IE-SNPs have the greatest challenge. The geographic dispersion of their members makes it harder to shape outcomes compared to I-SNPs, whose members are in long-term care facilities. C- and IE-SNP operators also face a greater challenge aggregating risk than D-SNP operators, who often have access to a known pool of potential members (Medicaid).


Our take

Through our research on the topic and conversations with thought leaders on special needs plans, we have uncovered the following three insights:

1. Low awareness of SNPs among senior care organizations will limit their ability to proactively prepare for the effects of SNP growth.

Outside of plans and people involved in long-term senior care facilities, most organizations and individuals (especially MA brokers and patients) in the senior care market have minimal or no awareness of SNPs or their growth potential. But the growth of SNPs will impact every sector of the industry, from providers and patients to health systems, vendors, and residential operators. Increased enrollment in SNPs will shift how and where older adults will receive their care, leading to downstream impacts across the industry.

2. SNPs are one of the best tools to manage care for older adults with complex care needs—but only in certain geographic areas.

Geographic dispersion of beneficiaries is the greatest challenge for managing SNPs, especially D-, C-, and IE-SNPs. In these plans, beneficiaries can live anywhere in the community, making it more difficult for care navigators and PCPs to manage, coordinate, and track their care. This is especially true for beneficiaries living in rural and lower-income urban areas where access to providers and social determinants of health (SDOH) resources is more challenging. Because that access is limited, many older adults living in those areas will not have the support they need to safely age in place, such as supplemental benefits that support healthy diet, transportation access, and in-home modifications (e.g., grab bars or an accessible shower). This, along with the limited availability of C- and IE-SNP plans in areas where care is more difficult to access, will create a geographic divide of which older adults will be able to age safely in their homes and which will have to move into a facility with more structure to support their care.

3. Growth of I-SNPs relies on long-term care staffing.

The role of nursing homes and long-term care will change steadily over the next 10 years, with a shift toward short-term stays and away from longer-term senior care housing (except for niche, complex cases). The relative dearth of workers in long-term care facilities will likely be the biggest barrier to growth for I-SNPs, which are currently the fastest growing segment of SNPs.

IE- and C-SNPs will help enable the shift toward shorter-term stays in long-term facilities, because the plans will allow providers and senior residence owners to focus resources necessary for acute-level senior care outside of traditional acute-care locations. The ability of SNPs to redirect resources to lower-acuity settings will be limited by the availability of senior care clinical and non-clinical workers, putting additional pressure on that already stressed workforce. SNPs will therefore not “solve” the senior care workforce challenges, though they will allow for a redistribution of older adults across different types of senior residences.


Four challenges that will impact SNP growth

The rest of this report explores how the following challenges would impact SNP growth and the ripple effects onto the health care industry overall. We will also detail the specific impacts of SNP growth on industry stakeholders.

In a zero-sum game of staffing, post-acute and senior care facilities face the worst workforce shortages and will be challenged to house all of the patients who need institutional-level care, pushing some of those patients to lower-acuity settings. This will leave many patients who are eligible for I-SNPs without access to the care benefits that those plans provide. However, those patients will still require the same care and attention they would receive in a long-term care facility.

This is where IE- (institutional-equivalent) SNPs will play a bigger role than they do now. IE-SNPs are meant for people living in the community who require an institutional level of care. If long-term care institutions will be challenged to accept as many patients as are necessary, there will likely be an increase in enrollment for IE-SNPs for those living in assisted living facilities and other lower-acuity senior residences.

There is still a question of workforce shortage to care for these people, however, because caring for a dispersed population in need of institutional-type care is much more difficult and costly than caring for them in one location, like a nursing home.

It’s difficult for C-, D-, and IE-SNPs to create structures that lead to better health outcomes since they can’t directly steer provider choice or directly shape SDOH inputs like food, transportation, and the physical structures of the places where enrollees live. An increase in geographical dispersion among SNP members leads to more challenges in creating better health outcomes (like managing SDOH inputs and engaging in provider steerage). For example, I-SNPs, with members in just one or a handful of long-term care facilities, can better manage care for their members than D-SNPs with enrollees spread across an entire state.

Care coordination is also easier when SNP members are close together. For example, a care coordinator can easily see all patient medical data when that patient is in a long-term care facility. But tracking care for a patient who lives in a private home or senior residence is much harder. In that case, the SNP operator must gather data streams from various third-party entities (transportation, providers, dietitians, local pharmacies, etc.).

Because the challenges of managing care for SNP members changes as they become more dispersed among the community, IE-, C-, and D-SNPs tend to experiment to meet the complex care management needs. D-SNP operators often have the advantage of access to preexisting state Medicaid rolls, which enables them to better aggregate the risks associated with this increased complexity of care. This is one reason D-SNPs are the only type of SNP plan that can be found around the country with any sort of regularity.

C- and IE-SNPs operators are challenged in both directions – the complexity of shaping outcomes is more complex compared to those in institutional settings (I-SNPs) because of geographical dispersion while the challenge of aggregating their risk is more complex than for D-SNP operators, who often have access to a known pool (Medicaid) of potential members.

Opportunities to overcome this challenge

  • Food: SNP beneficiaries often have specific and restrictive dietary concerns. Meeting those concerns in urban food deserts or rural areas can be difficult, so transportation to grocery stores, food stipends, and food delivery services from a plan-curated catalog could help beneficiaries meet their needs.
  • Transportation: MA plans can now cover cost of private transport to providers, which helps with steerage but doesn’t work well in lower-income rural areas without many clinical services close by. Some of this can be overcome through telemedicine, remote monitoring, and even telesurgery— but these services require technical knowledge and infrastructure that are often lacking in the areas where they are needed most.
  • Internet access: Bringing virtual care into the home can help bridge distances. However, telehealth requires creating and maintaining a digital infrastructure in the home that may not exist in rural or remote areas. Few SNPs currently cover home internet upkeep or upgrades, but this will need to change as C- and D-SNP enrollment grows.
Case study example

How Zing Health serves the underserved by focusing on SDOH

Zing Health is a provider of MA plans in Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan. Its mission is to provide “managed care Medicare Advantage Plans that address social determinants of health that reduce health care disparities among historically underserved populations.”

Zing utilizes a data-driven choice model that identifies member situations and provides choice sets that match the member situation. The model incorporates the PCP as well as a care team that includes an RN, social worker, and behavioral health supports. Through the close contact with their members, Zing promotes prompt member decision cycles that drive recommendations that allow members to live independently and overcome hurdles.

For example, Zing provides benefits such as frozen meals when members are discharged from the hospital to help with food insecurity. Zing also partners with Papa, a caregiving companionship organization, and other external partners to provide care services to seniors that includes companion benefits like housekeeping, transportation, grocery shopping, and social companionship to help with access and isolation.

C- and D-SNPs almost always work with third-party entities, such as providers or pharmacies, that don’t necessarily share data with one another easily—or willingly. For an IE-, C-, or D-SNP to be successful, it must be able to bring data from all of a patient's different inputs (food, transportation, PCP visit, specialist visit, pharmacy, internet issues, etc.) together in front of the coordinator so they can paint an accurate picture for their PCP.

Opportunities to overcome this challenge

SNP operators must limit the number of voices their members hear from the care coordination team to one or two, in order to avoid confusion among their members. For patients who need a more hands-on approach, community care workers can go to older adults’ homes and help them manage their care, providing extra eyes and ears for the care coordination team.

  • Outreach: SNP members can often be confused by the number of “touches” from different members of the care coordination team. SNPs will need to streamline their patient-facing interactions to just one or two coordinators.
  • Data: Because IE-, C-, and D-SNPs almost always coordinate third-party resources instead of employing them directly (unlike I-SNPs), their ability to bring the various data streams together into a coherent picture of the member for the care coordination team is a challenge. So far SNPs have struggled to make this work.
  • Polypharmacy: The biggest cause of rehospitalization among older adults is adverse drug events (ADE) caused by polypharmacy issues. But many IE-, C-, and D-SNPs don’t currently integrate pharmacists deeply into their care coordination team. Making pharmacists a central part of this team is essential for creating better member outcomes, especially for plans that have a telepharmacy capability.
Case study example

How Cureatr is reducing ADEs from polypharmacy

Cureatr is a digital medication management firm that provides patient medication history and telepharmacy services to payers and providers. Their remote clinical pharmacists use real-time data to maintain up-to-date medication lists and to ensure patients take the right medications appropriately and consistently to avoid ADEs. In randomized clinical trials, Cureatr has seen a 15% decrease in hospital readmission rates due to medication management issues among their users.

Given the volatile nature of the senior care labor market and the growing population of chronically ill older adults, it is in the health care industry’s best interest to ensure there are enough qualified workers to care for facility-based older adults to avoid unnecessary hospitalizations and other avoidable costs. However, many SNP operators, even provider-operators, do not seem concerned about workforce supply and demand.

Most SNPs use RNs or advanced practice providers (APPs) to coordinate care, but I-SNPs and IE-SNPs also rely on certified nursing assistants (CNAs) and other direct care workers to care for their patients. These are traditionally the roles with the highest turnover and are the most difficult to recruit and retain.

Nationwide, nursing homes are down more than 240,000 employees since the start of the pandemic, and no state is able to meet the minimum staffing requirements. This leads to closed beds, wings, or entire facilities, forcing more work onto family caregivers and leaving many older adults without the care they need—ultimately leading to delayed care and unnecessary hospitalizations.

Additionally, with fewer nursing home beds or facilities available, fewer older adults will be eligible to enroll in I-SNPs—which right now are growing quickly— and may not qualify for C- or D-SNPs if they do not meet the eligibility criteria. And having fewer post-acute beds available makes operations more difficult for those same facilities, since they have to turn away patients, which lowers revenues further.

This also has a ripple effect of pushing patients who should be in nursing homes into lower-acuity settings like assisted living or retirement communities (which, of course, makes them ineligible for I-SNPs). While IE- and C-SNPs could be effective alternatives, there may not be enough workforce to sustain those models, particularly given the travel involved to care for individuals in their homes and increase in home care workers necessary to support those models. This leads more older adults to age in place without the care or support they need, adding financial strain to the health care system when these patients are hospitalized for delayed care.

Opportunities to overcome this challenge

Workforce shortages will affect the growth of I-SNPs more than the other three types due to the labor required in nursing homes. Though I-SNPs are the second smallest SNP product by enrollment (only ahead of IE-SNPs), they have an established model of success in managing care for their patients in a cost-efficient way and are the fastest growing segment of the SNP market.

This is because I-SNP plans tend to employ their own clinical labor staff, as opposed to C- and D-SNPs that typically rely on third-party providers. This also allows I-SNP operators to shepherd their internal workforce into risk arrangements with less resistance than SNPs that rely on 3rd party providers.

And because an increasing number of I-SNPs are run by providers, there is an opportunity to invest in workplace culture to help retain and attract staff. While that is difficult to do in this climate, providers feel more confident about creating these cultures than plans do.

Plans and providers should work together to create a positive culture and work environment for these clinical and non-clinical workforces to help retain the workforce to encourage I-SNP growth over time.

D-SNP regulation

MA penetration is increasing overall, and D-SNPs are a large part of that shift away from FFS Medicare. D-SNP enrollment increased 22% from 2021 to 2022. And more older adults will continue to qualify for SNPs as they age into Medicare eligibility.

D-SNPs take all patients for as long as they have both Medicare and Medicaid. That population is growing—there was a 543% increase in total debt for Americans over age 70 from 1999 to 2019.

D-SNPs are already the largest and most difficult to manage of the SNP products due to their sheer size—D-SNP enrollees made up 88% of the total SNP population in 2021. The D-SNP population includes the most transient and underserved senior population, and D-SNP operators must navigate different state Medicaid regulations. D-SNP enrollees are also the most expensive of the Medicare population to care for, which is why CMS provides D-SNPs higher reimbursements than other SNPs.

As the complexity of older adults’ care rises and the dual-eligible population grows, the reimbursement rates currently seen for D-SNPs may not continue to grow at its current pace. There is also increased worry that the rapid growth in D-SNPs could lead to financial misconduct, which would engender much closer state and federal oversight and slow the growth of D-SNPs available in each state.

I-SNP regulation

The number of I-SNPs has grown rapidly over the past five years, and the fastest growing sector of I-SNPs has been provider-led I-SNPs. Providers and facility owners have begun creating their own SNPs in an effort to get a greater percentage of the premium dollar and limit the number of payers operating inside their facilities.

Although most providers and facility owners have found financial success with their SNPs, their value-based care model can disincentivize providers who know their patient population well but don’t have the enrollment numbers to appropriately manage the risk. The need for I-SNP operators to aggregate risk has limited the ability of smaller, more rural or remote organizations to succeed in this market.

Many of these smaller providers who do create an I-SNP plan have enrollments that are small enough to fall beneath the CMS reporting threshold, and thus don’t receive a star rating. Given the rapid growth of I-SNPs run by small providers and facilities, the growing percentage of patients in non-reporting SNPs will likely force CMS to more closely regulate these smaller operators.


How will SNP growth impact industry stakeholders?

The growth of SNPs will create ripple effects throughout the health care industry. In the following pages, we’ll look at specific impacts for health care stakeholders.

Health plans

  • SNPs generally offer the broadest supplemental benefit packages among all MA plans, and the push to expand them further will continue in response to the need to further shape SDOH and improve outcomes.
  • SNP operators are increasingly expressing frustration that they are forced to operate under most of the same star rating metrics as other MA plans. Expect CMS to further tweak SNP star rating metrics in the future to better evaluate the effectiveness of their models of care and health equity efforts.
  • While the biggest payers will face stiff competition in the I-SNP market, they will continue to dominate the D-SNP market, where they can take advantage of their bigger organizational capacities.

Providers

  • Long-term care providers are currently creating I-SNPs at a faster pace than plans. The pace for LTC providers will accelerate as more providers learn to use SNPs to increase their revenue and reduce the administrative hassle of juggling the needs of multiple payers.
  • While most SNPs are using RNs as the “traffic cop” for their care coordination teams, there will be a shift to using more APPs in that role due to their relative availability (compared to PCPs) and ability to make more clinical decisions than RNs.
  • The growing popularity of SNPs will put more pressure on PCPs’ time, given SNPs’ care coordination requirements. Care team design will be key to relieving some of that burden.

Pharmacy

  • SNPs will begin to incorporate pharmacists more closely into their care management teams to avoid rehospitalizations due to adverse drug events.
  • To penetrate areas with fewer providers, SNPs will increasingly rely on telepharmacists as part of their telemedicine outreach.

Senior housing

  • SNPs are already enabling creative collaborations between real estate investment trusts (REITs), providers, and plans around ways to scale complex care delivery within lower acuity residential settings.
  • Assisted living facilities are beginning to work with C- and IE-SNPs to retain residents even as their care needs increase.
  • Retirement communities have also begun to partner with SNPs to help separate out the cost of housing from the cost of care, in order to make the communities more attractive to younger retirees to start managing complex care as soon as possible.

Government

  • With the proliferation of smaller I-SNPs led by providers and facilities will come greater CMS oversight. Current CMS regulations don’t require the same level of outcomes reporting for plans with small enrollments as they do for bigger plans (those that receive star ratings), but CMS is being pressured to conduct more oversight on these smaller, regional I-SNPs.
  • Even though the financial burden on the federal government from D-SNPs will increase alongside the increase along with the increase in the dual-eligible population. But it will become increasingly difficult for the federal government to lower the high reimbursement rates for D-SNPs because private payers would likely pull out of many underserved communities where care coordination and delivery are more difficult.

Parting thoughts

With the aging of baby boomers and their desire to avoid institutional settings, SNPs will play an increasingly important role in the management of patients with complex conditions across a wide variety of settings.

SNPs are useful tools for addressing the needs of older adults with complex conditions because of their emphasis on care coordination. However, our ability to use this tool is challenged by low awareness of the product and geographical dispersion of members.

We are starting to see some industry moves to address the low level of SNP awareness, but there will need to be much more concerted effort by payers to enroll SNP-eligible members in these plans to help older adults get the care they need in the spaces they want to live. The ability of SNP operators to address the competing challenges of finding enough SNP enrollees to protect them from risk, while shaping their provider and SDOH experiences to provide better financial and health outcomes, will determine which organizations succeed in this market.

Ultimately, we will see unpaid caregiving play a larger role for those who can’t afford, don’t want, or can’t access the complex care coordination their situation may warrant. Some will want to age in place even if that means limiting their care and lifespan, while many others will age in more blended senior residential situations where their care can be more easily coordinated.

For additional information about caring for an aging population, check out www.advisory.com/seniors.


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Eileen Fennell

Senior research analyst, Aging population research

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