NPs crucial to filling predicted shortage of 50,000 PCPs by 2020

Kendall Natter

Kendall Natter, Nursing Executive Center

Our colleagues at the Daily Briefing recently covered RAND Corp analysis forecasting nurse practitioner workforce growth and its implications for health care delivery, as published in Medical Care.

According to this article, the number of NPs in the United States is expected to increase from 128,000 in 2008 to 244,000 in 2025.


For the analysis, RAND health economist David Auerbach applied National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses data from 1992 to 2008 to an age-cohort regression-based model. The model projected a 94% increase in the number of individuals trained to be NPs over the 17-year period.

Auerbach's analysis also indicates that the number of NPs that provide direct patient care, as opposed to those completing more administrative tasks, will increase by 130%, from 86,000 in 2008 to 198,000 in 2025.

Nursing Executive Center members, log in to read more and see how NPs can help fill the PCP gap.

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